Egg prices stabilize as supply recovers — analysts blame mass culling under Biden for earlier spike

• Egg prices peaked at $6.23 per dozen in March 2025 before stabilizing to $3.60 by July. Analysts attribute the earlier spike to avian flu and culling under Joe Biden, but critics questioned the justification given minimal flock declines (7-8 percent) and record-high lay rates.
• Upon taking office in 2025, President Donald Trump implemented policies like $1 billion in avian flu relief, expanded egg imports and deregulation. These measures led to a surge in imports (10M+ cartons in March) and a 10 percent monthly production increase, aiding price stabilization.
• Despite progress, 36M+ hens were lost to avian flu in 2025, with seasonal outbreaks still a risk. USDA biosecurity efforts aim to mitigate future disruptions, but a vaccine remains critical for long-term stability.
• Goldman Sachs predicts further price normalization by late 2025, though tariffs on imports and potential FTC antitrust probes into producers could impact affordability and market dynamics.
• The crisis highlighted vulnerabilities in the food supply chain, raising questions about market fairness, corporate accountability and whether Biden’s aggressive culling was necessary or a policy misstep. Consumers remain cautious as risks persist.

After months of soaring egg prices — peaking at a staggering $6.23 per dozen in March 2025 — Goldman Sachs analysts now report that the U.S. egg supply has “likely normalized.” The dramatic price surge, which fueled political backlash and strained household budgets, was initially blamed on the Biden administration’s aggressive response to avian flu, including the culling of roughly 150 million egg-laying hens. But with prices now retracing and supply chains stabilizing under President Donald Trump’s countermeasures, questions linger: Was the initial crisis exaggerated, or did market manipulation play a role?

The rise and fall of egg prices

Egg prices more than doubled between 2022 and 2025, reaching historic highs earlier this year. The Biden administration attributed the spike to the worst avian flu outbreak in U.S. history, which led to mass culling of hens. However, critics argued that supply disruptions alone couldn’t justify the extreme price hikes — especially since industry data showed only a 7-8 percent decline in egg-laying flocks, with remaining hens producing at record rates. (Related: Trump’s USDA policies drive egg prices down nearly 60%.)

Now, with Goldman Sachs declaring the market “normalized,” prices have fallen to $3.60 per dozen as of July, down from their March peak. Analysts Leah Jordan and Eli Thompson project further stabilization as flocks recover, though prices remain 16.4 percent higher than last year.

Trump’s countermeasures: Did they work?

Upon taking office in January 2025, President Trump swiftly implemented policies to stabilize prices, including $1 billion in avian flu relief, expanded egg imports and deregulation to speed up flock recovery. Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins also hinted at rolling back state-level pricing rules that exacerbated regional disparities.

The results? Imports surged, with the U.S. bringing in over 10 million cartons of shelled eggs in March alone. Meanwhile, domestic production rebounded slightly, with hens laying 10 percent more eggs in March than February. While prices remain elevated, the downward trend suggests Trump’s policies may have helped ease the crunch.

The lingering threat of bird flu

Despite progress, avian flu remains a wild card. Over 36 million hens have been lost to the disease in 2025 alone, and experts warn of seasonal resurgences. The USDA’s biosecurity investments aim to curb outbreaks, but until a vaccine is developed, the risk of future supply shocks persists.

What’s next for consumers?

Goldman Sachs expects further price normalization by late 2025, assuming no major outbreaks. However, tariffs on imported eggs — a key Trump policy — could complicate efforts to keep costs down. Meanwhile, the FTC’s potential antitrust probe into egg producers could reshape industry dynamics, ensuring closer scrutiny of future price hikes.

The egg crisis of 2024-2025 exposed vulnerabilities in America’s food supply chain—from overreliance on a handful of major producers to the destabilizing impact of disease and policy missteps. While prices are finally retreating, the episode raises deeper questions about market fairness, corporate accountability and whether the Biden administration’s culling strategy was a miscalculation or a necessary evil. For now, consumers can breathe easier — but the scramble for affordable eggs isn’t over yet.

Watch as the Agriculture secretary explains what’s behind the rise in egg prices.

This video is from the TrendingNews channel on Brighteon.com.

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Sources include: 

Zerohedge.com

Nerdwallet.com

MSN.com

Brighteon.com